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2024-12-14 00:30:07

It is reported that the European Central Bank is considering cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in the next two meetings. According to informed sources, as the inflation rate stabilizes at the target of 2% and economic growth is sluggish, ECB officials plan to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in January, and there may be another one in March. People familiar with the matter said that as long as the economic development meets current expectations, gradually reducing the borrowing cost is the most appropriate path. They believe that cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at a time in an emergency is still an option, but this move may convey an unexpected sense of urgency. According to people familiar with the matter, officials have not yet made any decision, and every meeting will be evaluated based on all available information, even after March. They stressed that once the situation becomes clearer after Trump takes office in January, the policy inclination of the central bank may change.Boeing plans to increase the monthly output of the 787 to 10 by 2026. Boeing said on Thursday that it plans to increase the monthly output of the 787 Dreamliner wide-body passenger aircraft to 10 by 2026. The aircraft manufacturer plans to expand its operations in Charleston County, South Carolina, invest $1 billion to upgrade infrastructure and create 500 new jobs. Boeing has been working hard to restore the output of 787 aircraft to the level of 5 aircraft per month before the end of this year, but the obstacles in the supply chain have led to production delays.Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)


IBM and Illinois will establish a national quantum algorithm center with universities and industries in Chicago. On December 12th, local time, IBM and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker announced that they would cooperate to establish a new national quantum algorithm center in the Illinois Quantum and Microelectronics Park (IQMP) in Chicago. The center is jointly supported by IBM and other quantum computing pioneers, including the University of Chicago and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and will be supported by IBM's next-generation quantum computer, IBM Quantum System Two, which the company plans to deploy in Chicago next year.The balance of A-share financing reached a nine-year high. On December 12th, the A-share market opened lower and went higher. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by nearly 1%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1% and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by more than 1%. More than 3,500 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, with more than 150 stocks trading daily, and the big consumer sector broke out. The market turnover was 1.89 trillion yuan, which has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 52 consecutive trading days, setting a new record for the A-share market. In terms of funds, Wind data shows that as of December 11th, the financing balance in the A-share market was 1,875.85 billion yuan, a record high of over 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends. (CSI)Minsheng Securities: The six key signals of the economic work conference. According to the macro team research report of Minsheng Securities, the economic work conference gave "from point to face" answers to the questions raised by the Politburo meeting. Therefore, in order to grasp the main economic line next year, we think the following six signals are very critical: First, face up to external and internal problems and risks more frankly. Second, directly "winning numbers" raised the deficit, which is rarely seen in history. Third, the importance and determination to boost consumption are unprecedented. Fourth, monetary policy focuses on continuity and strength, and completes the cooperation with finance. Fifth, stabilize the property market and the stock market, and make clear that the bottom may be the most important at present. Sixth, the new idea of the supply side-rectifying the "involution".


Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government: Aleppo Airport is ready, and the civil airport is trying to recover. On the evening of the 12th local time, the Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government said that he was working hard to prepare for the recovery of the Syrian civil airport for planes to take off and land. At the same time, the department is also coordinating the operational procedures for transit with neighboring countries. The minister said that in the next few hours, Syrian airspace will be opened to air traffic. At present, Aleppo International Airport in Syria is ready, and Syria will announce the operation dates of Damascus International Airport and Aleppo International Airport in the next few days.2 trillion yuan of special refinancing bonds will be issued next week. According to China Bond Information Network, Beijing plans to issue the eleventh batch of government bonds in Beijing in 2024 by tender on December 18th. By then, the task of issuing 2 trillion yuan of local government refinancing special bonds to "replace the hidden debts in stock" will be completed during the year. At present, 29 provinces have disclosed the issuance arrangement of special refinancing special bonds, while Guangdong Province and Shanghai did not participate in this round of hidden debt swap. (Securities Times)Fitch: The neutral outlook of global protein in 2025 reflects that global consumption will remain stable as consumer demand shifts to lower-priced chicken and pork.

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